Wind Astra ClericTier 1
at Mortal Ambition Regionals
decks
2
(5.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11
5-4-2
overall winrate
54.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
54.1%
avg ELO +1.8 per match
expected value
52.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1325
· median 1325
· range 1157–1493
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1058
Q1 1159
Q3 1309
1493
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 15.4% | 2 | 0-0-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.4% | -0.6 |
| Wind Allies | 15.4% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 56.8% | +5.1 |
| Fire Exia | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.2% | +14.7 |
| Water Allies | 5.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.0% | +14.5 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 5.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.3% | -17.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 39.2% | -10.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.6 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos Tonoris | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Silvie | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Silvie | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
